Acres Commercial Realty Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.02
| ACR Stock | USD 17.24 0.18 1.03% |
Acres |
Acres Commercial Target Price Odds to finish below 12.02
The tendency of Acres Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.02 or more in 90 days |
| 17.24 | 90 days | 12.02 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acres Commercial to drop to $ 12.02 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Acres Commercial Realty probability density function shows the probability of Acres Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Acres Commercial Realty price to stay between $ 12.02 and its current price of $17.24 at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Acres Commercial has a beta of 0.47. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Acres Commercial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Acres Commercial Realty will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Acres Commercial Realty has an alpha of 0.118, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Acres Commercial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Acres Commercial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acres Commercial Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acres Commercial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acres Commercial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acres Commercial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acres Commercial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acres Commercial Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acres Commercial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.77 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Acres Commercial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acres Commercial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acres Commercial Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Acres Commercial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Eagle Point sells 153,524 in acres commercial realty stock |
Acres Commercial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acres Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acres Commercial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acres Commercial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.4 M |
Acres Commercial Technical Analysis
Acres Commercial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acres Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acres Commercial Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acres Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Acres Commercial Predictive Forecast Models
Acres Commercial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Acres Commercial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acres Commercial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Acres Commercial Realty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Acres Commercial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acres Commercial Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Acres Commercial has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Eagle Point sells 153,524 in acres commercial realty stock |
Additional Tools for Acres Stock Analysis
When running Acres Commercial's price analysis, check to measure Acres Commercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acres Commercial is operating at the current time. Most of Acres Commercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acres Commercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acres Commercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acres Commercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.