Accenture Plc (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2,198
| ACNB34 Stock | BRL 2,204 55.28 2.57% |
Accenture |
Accenture Plc Target Price Odds to finish below 2,198
The tendency of Accenture Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 2,204 | 90 days | 2,204 | over 95.33 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Accenture Plc to move below current price in 90 days from now is over 95.33 (This Accenture plc probability density function shows the probability of Accenture Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Accenture plc has a beta of -0.24. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Accenture Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Accenture plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Accenture plc has an alpha of 0.241, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Accenture Plc Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Accenture Plc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accenture plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Accenture Plc Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Accenture Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Accenture Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Accenture plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Accenture Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 106.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Accenture Plc Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Accenture Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Accenture Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Accenture Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 632 M |
Accenture Plc Technical Analysis
Accenture Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Accenture Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Accenture plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Accenture Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Accenture Plc Predictive Forecast Models
Accenture Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Accenture Plc's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Accenture Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Accenture Plc in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Accenture Plc's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Accenture Plc options trading.
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Accenture Stock
When determining whether Accenture plc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Accenture Plc's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Accenture Plc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Accenture Plc Stock:Check out Accenture Plc Backtesting, Accenture Plc Valuation, Accenture Plc Correlation, Accenture Plc Hype Analysis, Accenture Plc Volatility, Accenture Plc History as well as Accenture Plc Performance. For information on how to trade Accenture Stock refer to our How to Trade Accenture Stock guide.You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.