Autocorp Holding (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.17

ACG Stock   0.91  0.01  1.09%   
Autocorp Holding's future price is the expected price of Autocorp Holding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Autocorp Holding Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Autocorp Holding Backtesting, Autocorp Holding Valuation, Autocorp Holding Correlation, Autocorp Holding Hype Analysis, Autocorp Holding Volatility, Autocorp Holding History as well as Autocorp Holding Performance.
  
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Autocorp Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 17.17

The tendency of Autocorp Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  17.17  or more in 90 days
 0.91 90 days 17.17 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Autocorp Holding to move over  17.17  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Autocorp Holding Public probability density function shows the probability of Autocorp Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Autocorp Holding Public price to stay between its current price of  0.91  and  17.17  at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Autocorp Holding has a beta of 0.25. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Autocorp Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Autocorp Holding Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Autocorp Holding Public has an alpha of 0.3164, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Autocorp Holding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Autocorp Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Autocorp Holding Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.050.916.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.040.856.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.966.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.860.961.07
Details

Autocorp Holding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Autocorp Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Autocorp Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Autocorp Holding Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Autocorp Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.25
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Autocorp Holding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Autocorp Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Autocorp Holding Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Autocorp Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Autocorp Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Autocorp Holding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Autocorp Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Autocorp Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Autocorp Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding600 M

Autocorp Holding Technical Analysis

Autocorp Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Autocorp Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Autocorp Holding Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Autocorp Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Autocorp Holding Predictive Forecast Models

Autocorp Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Autocorp Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Autocorp Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Autocorp Holding Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about Autocorp Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Autocorp Holding Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Autocorp Holding had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Autocorp Holding has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 83.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Autocorp Stock

Autocorp Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Autocorp Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Autocorp with respect to the benefits of owning Autocorp Holding security.