Acast AB (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.08
| ACAST Stock | 15.60 0.35 2.30% |
Acast |
Acast AB Target Price Odds to finish below 13.08
The tendency of Acast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 13.08 or more in 90 days |
| 15.60 | 90 days | 13.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Acast AB to drop to 13.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Acast AB probability density function shows the probability of Acast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Acast AB price to stay between 13.08 and its current price of 15.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.05 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Acast AB has a beta of 0.0106. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Acast AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Acast AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Acast AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Acast AB Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Acast AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acast AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acast AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acast AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Acast AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Acast AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Acast AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Acast AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Acast AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Acast AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Acast AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Acast AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Acast AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.03 B. Net Loss for the year was (300.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 373.48 M. | |
| Acast AB generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Acast AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Acast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Acast AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acast AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 136.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Acast AB Technical Analysis
Acast AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Acast Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Acast AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Acast Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Acast AB Predictive Forecast Models
Acast AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Acast AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Acast AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Acast AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Acast AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Acast AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Acast AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Acast AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.03 B. Net Loss for the year was (300.39 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 373.48 M. | |
| Acast AB generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Acast Stock Analysis
When running Acast AB's price analysis, check to measure Acast AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acast AB is operating at the current time. Most of Acast AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acast AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acast AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acast AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.