Ascend Wellness Holdings Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.01
| AAWH Stock | USD 0.41 0.02 4.65% |
Ascend |
Ascend Wellness Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Ascend OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.41 | 90 days | 0.01 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ascend Wellness to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ascend Wellness Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Ascend OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ascend Wellness Holdings price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.61 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Ascend Wellness Holdings has a beta of -2.6. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Ascend Wellness Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Ascend Wellness is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Ascend Wellness Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Ascend Wellness Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Ascend Wellness
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ascend Wellness Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ascend Wellness' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ascend Wellness Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ascend Wellness is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ascend Wellness' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ascend Wellness Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ascend Wellness within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.89 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.6 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
Ascend Wellness Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ascend Wellness for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ascend Wellness Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ascend Wellness generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ascend Wellness has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ascend Wellness has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ascend Wellness has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 332.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (122.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 135.97 M. | |
| Ascend Wellness Holdings currently holds about 145.22 M in cash with (41.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.77, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Ascend Wellness Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ascend OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ascend Wellness' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ascend Wellness' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 171.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 155.5 M |
Ascend Wellness Technical Analysis
Ascend Wellness' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ascend OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ascend Wellness Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ascend OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ascend Wellness Predictive Forecast Models
Ascend Wellness' time-series forecasting models is one of many Ascend Wellness' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ascend Wellness' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ascend Wellness Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ascend Wellness for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ascend Wellness Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ascend Wellness generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Ascend Wellness has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Ascend Wellness has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Ascend Wellness has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 332.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (122.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 135.97 M. | |
| Ascend Wellness Holdings currently holds about 145.22 M in cash with (41.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.77, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Ascend OTC Stock
Ascend Wellness financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ascend OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ascend with respect to the benefits of owning Ascend Wellness security.