Armada Acquisition Corp Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.02
Armada Acquisition's future price is the expected price of Armada Acquisition instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Armada Acquisition Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators.
Please specify Armada Acquisition's target price for which you would like Armada Acquisition odds to be computed.
Armada |
Armada Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish below 10.02
The tendency of Armada Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 10.02 after 90 days |
| 0.00 | 90 days | 10.02 | about 47.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Armada Acquisition to stay under $ 10.02 after 90 days from now is about 47.96 (This Armada Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of Armada Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Armada Acquisition Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 0.00 and $ 10.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.98 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Armada Acquisition has a beta of 0.56. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Armada Acquisition average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Armada Acquisition Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Armada Acquisition Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Armada Acquisition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Armada Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Armada Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Armada Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Armada Acquisition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Armada Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Armada Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Armada Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Armada Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Armada Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Armada Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Armada Acquisition Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Armada Acquisition is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Armada Acquisition has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Armada Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Armada Acquisition Corp currently holds 2.56 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.37, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Armada Acquisition Corp has a current ratio of 0.17, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Armada Acquisition's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (320.15 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Armada Acquisition Corp currently holds about 439.86 K in cash with (1.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 78.0% of Armada Acquisition shares are held by company insiders |
Armada Acquisition Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Armada Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Armada Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Armada Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 60.3 K |
Armada Acquisition Technical Analysis
Armada Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Armada Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Armada Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Armada Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Armada Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models
Armada Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Armada Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Armada Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Armada Acquisition Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Armada Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Armada Acquisition Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Armada Acquisition is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Armada Acquisition has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Armada Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Armada Acquisition Corp currently holds 2.56 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 5.37, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Armada Acquisition Corp has a current ratio of 0.17, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Armada Acquisition's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (320.15 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Armada Acquisition Corp currently holds about 439.86 K in cash with (1.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 78.0% of Armada Acquisition shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Other Consideration for investing in Armada Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Armada Acquisition Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Armada Acquisition's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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