ACCO Brands (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.99
| A3B Stock | EUR 5.10 0.00 0.00% |
ACCO |
ACCO Brands Target Price Odds to finish below 4.99
The tendency of ACCO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 4.99 or more in 90 days |
| 5.10 | 90 days | 4.99 | about 40.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ACCO Brands to drop to € 4.99 or more in 90 days from now is about 40.37 (This ACCO Brands probability density function shows the probability of ACCO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ACCO Brands price to stay between € 4.99 and its current price of €5.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ACCO Brands has a beta of 0.29. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ACCO Brands average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ACCO Brands will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ACCO Brands has an alpha of 0.1547, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ACCO Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ACCO Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ACCO Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ACCO Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ACCO Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ACCO Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ACCO Brands, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ACCO Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.50 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
ACCO Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ACCO Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ACCO Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ACCO Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ACCO Brands has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.95 B. Net Loss for the year was (13.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 552.3 M. | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
ACCO Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ACCO Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ACCO Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ACCO Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 94.3 M |
ACCO Brands Technical Analysis
ACCO Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ACCO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ACCO Brands. In general, you should focus on analyzing ACCO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ACCO Brands Predictive Forecast Models
ACCO Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many ACCO Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ACCO Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ACCO Brands
Checking the ongoing alerts about ACCO Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ACCO Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ACCO Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ACCO Brands has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.95 B. Net Loss for the year was (13.2 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 552.3 M. | |
| Over 83.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in ACCO Stock
When determining whether ACCO Brands offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ACCO Brands' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Acco Brands Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Acco Brands Stock:Check out ACCO Brands Backtesting, ACCO Brands Valuation, ACCO Brands Correlation, ACCO Brands Hype Analysis, ACCO Brands Volatility, ACCO Brands History as well as ACCO Brands Performance. For more detail on how to invest in ACCO Stock please use our How to Invest in ACCO Brands guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.