CKH Food (Korea) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 57.72

900120 Stock  KRW 65.00  3.00  4.84%   
CKH Food's future price is the expected price of CKH Food instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CKH Food Health performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CKH Food Backtesting, CKH Food Valuation, CKH Food Correlation, CKH Food Hype Analysis, CKH Food Volatility, CKH Food History as well as CKH Food Performance.
  
Please specify CKH Food's target price for which you would like CKH Food odds to be computed.

CKH Food Target Price Odds to finish below 57.72

The tendency of CKH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to W 57.72  or more in 90 days
 65.00 90 days 57.72 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CKH Food to drop to W 57.72  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CKH Food Health probability density function shows the probability of CKH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CKH Food Health price to stay between W 57.72  and its current price of W65.0 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CKH Food has a beta of 0.0553. This suggests as returns on the market go up, CKH Food average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CKH Food Health will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CKH Food Health has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CKH Food Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CKH Food

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CKH Food Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.6465.0068.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
57.3360.6971.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
54.3457.7061.06
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63.8372.5881.34
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CKH Food. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CKH Food's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CKH Food's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in CKH Food Health.

CKH Food Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CKH Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CKH Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CKH Food Health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CKH Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.42
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
8.09
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

CKH Food Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CKH Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CKH Food Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CKH Food Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CKH Food Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

CKH Food Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CKH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CKH Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CKH Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding123 M
Cash And Short Term Investments340.7 M
Shares Float90.2 M

CKH Food Technical Analysis

CKH Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CKH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CKH Food Health. In general, you should focus on analyzing CKH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CKH Food Predictive Forecast Models

CKH Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many CKH Food's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CKH Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CKH Food Health

Checking the ongoing alerts about CKH Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CKH Food Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CKH Food Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CKH Food Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 28.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in CKH Stock

CKH Food financial ratios help investors to determine whether CKH Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CKH with respect to the benefits of owning CKH Food security.