EBUSCO HOLDING (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 49.66
| 8J3 Stock | 1.01 0.02 2.02% |
EBUSCO |
EBUSCO HOLDING Target Price Odds to finish over 49.66
The tendency of EBUSCO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 49.66 or more in 90 days |
| 1.01 | 90 days | 49.66 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EBUSCO HOLDING to move over 49.66 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This EBUSCO HOLDING NV probability density function shows the probability of EBUSCO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EBUSCO HOLDING NV price to stay between its current price of 1.01 and 49.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.5 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.55 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, EBUSCO HOLDING will likely underperform. Additionally EBUSCO HOLDING NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. EBUSCO HOLDING Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for EBUSCO HOLDING
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EBUSCO HOLDING NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EBUSCO HOLDING Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EBUSCO HOLDING is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EBUSCO HOLDING's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EBUSCO HOLDING NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EBUSCO HOLDING within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.95 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
EBUSCO HOLDING Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EBUSCO HOLDING for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EBUSCO HOLDING NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| EBUSCO HOLDING NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| EBUSCO HOLDING NV has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| EBUSCO HOLDING NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
EBUSCO HOLDING Technical Analysis
EBUSCO HOLDING's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EBUSCO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EBUSCO HOLDING NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing EBUSCO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EBUSCO HOLDING Predictive Forecast Models
EBUSCO HOLDING's time-series forecasting models is one of many EBUSCO HOLDING's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EBUSCO HOLDING's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about EBUSCO HOLDING NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about EBUSCO HOLDING for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EBUSCO HOLDING NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| EBUSCO HOLDING NV generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| EBUSCO HOLDING NV has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| EBUSCO HOLDING NV has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |