Alexander Marine (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 237.06
| 8478 Stock | 207.50 2.00 0.95% |
Alexander |
Alexander Marine Target Price Odds to finish below 237.06
The tendency of Alexander Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 237.06 after 90 days |
| 207.50 | 90 days | 237.06 | about 23.81 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alexander Marine to stay under 237.06 after 90 days from now is about 23.81 (This Alexander Marine Co probability density function shows the probability of Alexander Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alexander Marine price to stay between its current price of 207.50 and 237.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alexander Marine Co has a beta of -0.0452. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Alexander Marine are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Alexander Marine Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Alexander Marine Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Alexander Marine Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Alexander Marine
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alexander Marine. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alexander Marine Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alexander Marine is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alexander Marine's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alexander Marine Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alexander Marine within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 29.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.31 |
Alexander Marine Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alexander Marine for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alexander Marine can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alexander Marine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Alexander Marine Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alexander Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alexander Marine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alexander Marine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 88 M |
Alexander Marine Technical Analysis
Alexander Marine's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alexander Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alexander Marine Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alexander Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alexander Marine Predictive Forecast Models
Alexander Marine's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alexander Marine's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alexander Marine's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alexander Marine
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alexander Marine for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alexander Marine help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alexander Marine generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 81.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Alexander Stock Analysis
When running Alexander Marine's price analysis, check to measure Alexander Marine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alexander Marine is operating at the current time. Most of Alexander Marine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alexander Marine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alexander Marine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alexander Marine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.