Momo (Taiwan) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 345.50

8454 Stock  TWD 345.50  7.00  1.99%   
Momo's future price is the expected price of Momo instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of momo Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Momo Backtesting, Momo Valuation, Momo Correlation, Momo Hype Analysis, Momo Volatility, Momo History as well as Momo Performance.
  
Please specify Momo's target price for which you would like Momo odds to be computed.

Momo Target Price Odds to finish over 345.50

The tendency of Momo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 345.50 90 days 345.50 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Momo to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This momo Inc probability density function shows the probability of Momo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Momo has a beta of 0.57. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Momo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding momo Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Momo Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Momo Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Momo

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as momo Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
344.28345.50346.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
310.95358.62359.85
Details

Momo Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Momo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Momo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold momo Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Momo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.57
σ
Overall volatility
12.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Momo Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Momo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for momo Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
momo Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
momo Inc has accumulated 2.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.29, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. momo Inc has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Momo until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Momo's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like momo Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Momo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Momo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 69.0% of Momo shares are owned by insiders or employees

Momo Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Momo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Momo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Momo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding182.1 M

Momo Technical Analysis

Momo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Momo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of momo Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Momo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Momo Predictive Forecast Models

Momo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Momo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Momo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about momo Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Momo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for momo Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
momo Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
momo Inc has accumulated 2.39 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.29, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. momo Inc has a current ratio of 0.94, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Momo until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Momo's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like momo Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Momo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Momo's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 69.0% of Momo shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Momo Stock Analysis

When running Momo's price analysis, check to measure Momo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Momo is operating at the current time. Most of Momo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Momo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Momo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Momo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.