Kingcan Holdings (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.09
| 8411 Stock | TWD 13.15 0.05 0.38% |
Kingcan |
Kingcan Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 12.09
The tendency of Kingcan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 12.09 or more in 90 days |
| 13.15 | 90 days | 12.09 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kingcan Holdings to drop to NT$ 12.09 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Kingcan Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Kingcan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kingcan Holdings price to stay between NT$ 12.09 and its current price of NT$13.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.27 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kingcan Holdings has a beta of -0.35. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Kingcan Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Kingcan Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Kingcan Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Kingcan Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kingcan Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kingcan Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Kingcan Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kingcan Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kingcan Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kingcan Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kingcan Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Kingcan Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kingcan Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kingcan Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kingcan Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kingcan Holdings has accumulated about 1.52 B in cash with (107.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.67. | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Kingcan Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kingcan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kingcan Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kingcan Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175.4 M |
Kingcan Holdings Technical Analysis
Kingcan Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kingcan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kingcan Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kingcan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kingcan Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Kingcan Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Kingcan Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kingcan Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kingcan Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kingcan Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kingcan Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kingcan Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kingcan Holdings has accumulated about 1.52 B in cash with (107.13 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 8.67. | |
| Roughly 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Kingcan Stock Analysis
When running Kingcan Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Kingcan Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kingcan Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Kingcan Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kingcan Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kingcan Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kingcan Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.