Dufu Tech (Malaysia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.92
| 7233 Stock | 1.85 0.04 2.21% |
Dufu |
Dufu Tech Target Price Odds to finish below 1.92
The tendency of Dufu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1.92 after 90 days |
| 1.85 | 90 days | 1.92 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dufu Tech to stay under 1.92 after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Dufu Tech Corp probability density function shows the probability of Dufu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dufu Tech Corp price to stay between its current price of 1.85 and 1.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dufu Tech has a beta of 0.2. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Dufu Tech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dufu Tech Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dufu Tech Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dufu Tech Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dufu Tech
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dufu Tech Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dufu Tech Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dufu Tech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dufu Tech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dufu Tech Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dufu Tech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Dufu Tech Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dufu Tech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dufu Tech Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dufu Tech Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dufu Tech Corp may become a speculative penny stock |
Dufu Tech Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dufu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dufu Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dufu Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 529.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 84.8 M |
Dufu Tech Technical Analysis
Dufu Tech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dufu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dufu Tech Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dufu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dufu Tech Predictive Forecast Models
Dufu Tech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dufu Tech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dufu Tech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dufu Tech Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dufu Tech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dufu Tech Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dufu Tech Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dufu Tech Corp may become a speculative penny stock |
Other Information on Investing in Dufu Stock
Dufu Tech financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dufu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dufu with respect to the benefits of owning Dufu Tech security.