AIRBNB INC (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 111.02

6Z1 Stock  EUR 129.56  1.18  0.92%   
AIRBNB INC's future price is the expected price of AIRBNB INC instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AIRBNB INC DL 01 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AIRBNB INC Backtesting, AIRBNB INC Valuation, AIRBNB INC Correlation, AIRBNB INC Hype Analysis, AIRBNB INC Volatility, AIRBNB INC History as well as AIRBNB INC Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in AIRBNB Stock please use our How to Invest in AIRBNB INC guide.
  
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AIRBNB INC Target Price Odds to finish below 111.02

The tendency of AIRBNB Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 111.02  or more in 90 days
 129.56 90 days 111.02 
about 6.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AIRBNB INC to drop to € 111.02  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.74 (This AIRBNB INC DL 01 probability density function shows the probability of AIRBNB Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AIRBNB INC DL price to stay between € 111.02  and its current price of €129.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.49 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon AIRBNB INC has a beta of 0.32. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AIRBNB INC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AIRBNB INC DL 01 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AIRBNB INC DL 01 has an alpha of 0.2859, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   AIRBNB INC Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AIRBNB INC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AIRBNB INC DL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
127.51129.56131.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
116.60148.20150.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
126.93128.98131.04
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
123.13128.82134.52
Details

AIRBNB INC Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AIRBNB INC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AIRBNB INC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AIRBNB INC DL 01, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AIRBNB INC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
7.67
Ir
Information ratio 0.10

AIRBNB INC Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AIRBNB INC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AIRBNB INC DL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 8.03 B. Net Loss for the year was (5.42 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.84 B.
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

AIRBNB INC Technical Analysis

AIRBNB INC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AIRBNB Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AIRBNB INC DL 01. In general, you should focus on analyzing AIRBNB Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AIRBNB INC Predictive Forecast Models

AIRBNB INC's time-series forecasting models is one of many AIRBNB INC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AIRBNB INC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AIRBNB INC DL

Checking the ongoing alerts about AIRBNB INC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AIRBNB INC DL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 8.03 B. Net Loss for the year was (5.42 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.84 B.
About 66.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds

Other Information on Investing in AIRBNB Stock

AIRBNB INC financial ratios help investors to determine whether AIRBNB Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AIRBNB with respect to the benefits of owning AIRBNB INC security.