Maider Medical (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.32

688310 Stock   11.36  0.07  0.62%   
Maider Medical's future price is the expected price of Maider Medical instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Maider Medical Industry performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Maider Medical Backtesting, Maider Medical Valuation, Maider Medical Correlation, Maider Medical Hype Analysis, Maider Medical Volatility, Maider Medical History as well as Maider Medical Performance.
  
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Maider Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 15.32

The tendency of Maider Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  15.32  or more in 90 days
 11.36 90 days 15.32 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Maider Medical to move over  15.32  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Maider Medical Industry probability density function shows the probability of Maider Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Maider Medical Industry price to stay between its current price of  11.36  and  15.32  at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Maider Medical has a beta of 0.27. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Maider Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Maider Medical Industry will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Maider Medical Industry has an alpha of 0.3468, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Maider Medical Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Maider Medical

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Maider Medical Industry. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.9811.2514.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.7712.0415.31
Details

Maider Medical Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Maider Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Maider Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Maider Medical Industry, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Maider Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.95
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Maider Medical Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Maider Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Maider Medical Industry can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maider Medical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Maider Medical has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Maider Medical Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Maider Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Maider Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Maider Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding165.3 M
Dividends Paid40.3 M

Maider Medical Technical Analysis

Maider Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Maider Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Maider Medical Industry. In general, you should focus on analyzing Maider Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Maider Medical Predictive Forecast Models

Maider Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Maider Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Maider Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Maider Medical Industry

Checking the ongoing alerts about Maider Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Maider Medical Industry help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Maider Medical generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Maider Medical has high historical volatility and very poor performance

Other Information on Investing in Maider Stock

Maider Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Maider Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Maider with respect to the benefits of owning Maider Medical security.