Nanjing Medlander (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 26.05

688273 Stock   26.40  0.35  1.34%   
Nanjing Medlander's future price is the expected price of Nanjing Medlander instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nanjing Medlander Medical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nanjing Medlander Backtesting, Nanjing Medlander Valuation, Nanjing Medlander Correlation, Nanjing Medlander Hype Analysis, Nanjing Medlander Volatility, Nanjing Medlander History as well as Nanjing Medlander Performance.
  
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Nanjing Medlander Target Price Odds to finish over 26.05

The tendency of Nanjing Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  26.05  in 90 days
 26.40 90 days 26.05 
about 21.88
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nanjing Medlander to stay above  26.05  in 90 days from now is about 21.88 (This Nanjing Medlander Medical probability density function shows the probability of Nanjing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nanjing Medlander Medical price to stay between  26.05  and its current price of 26.4 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nanjing Medlander Medical has a beta of -0.2. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nanjing Medlander are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nanjing Medlander Medical is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nanjing Medlander Medical has an alpha of 0.4281, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nanjing Medlander Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nanjing Medlander

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nanjing Medlander Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.8826.4530.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.6121.1829.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.7426.3129.88
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
23.7425.5127.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nanjing Medlander. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nanjing Medlander's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nanjing Medlander's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nanjing Medlander Medical.

Nanjing Medlander Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nanjing Medlander is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nanjing Medlander's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nanjing Medlander Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nanjing Medlander within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.43
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
2.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Nanjing Medlander Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nanjing Medlander for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nanjing Medlander Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nanjing Medlander appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Nanjing Medlander is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Nanjing Medlander Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nanjing Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nanjing Medlander's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nanjing Medlander's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding100.6 M

Nanjing Medlander Technical Analysis

Nanjing Medlander's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nanjing Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nanjing Medlander Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nanjing Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nanjing Medlander Predictive Forecast Models

Nanjing Medlander's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nanjing Medlander's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nanjing Medlander's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nanjing Medlander Medical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nanjing Medlander for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nanjing Medlander Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nanjing Medlander appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Nanjing Medlander is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Nanjing Stock

Nanjing Medlander financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nanjing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nanjing with respect to the benefits of owning Nanjing Medlander security.