Beijing Kingsoft (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 257.43

688111 Stock   295.50  3.15  1.08%   
Beijing Kingsoft's future price is the expected price of Beijing Kingsoft instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Beijing Kingsoft Office performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Beijing Kingsoft Backtesting, Beijing Kingsoft Valuation, Beijing Kingsoft Correlation, Beijing Kingsoft Hype Analysis, Beijing Kingsoft Volatility, Beijing Kingsoft History as well as Beijing Kingsoft Performance.
  
Please specify Beijing Kingsoft's target price for which you would like Beijing Kingsoft odds to be computed.

Beijing Kingsoft Target Price Odds to finish below 257.43

The tendency of Beijing Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  257.43  or more in 90 days
 295.50 90 days 257.43 
about 34.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Beijing Kingsoft to drop to  257.43  or more in 90 days from now is about 34.1 (This Beijing Kingsoft Office probability density function shows the probability of Beijing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Beijing Kingsoft Office price to stay between  257.43  and its current price of 295.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.8 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Beijing Kingsoft Office has a beta of -0.11. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Beijing Kingsoft are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Beijing Kingsoft Office is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Beijing Kingsoft Office has an alpha of 0.8806, implying that it can generate a 0.88 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Beijing Kingsoft Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Beijing Kingsoft

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Kingsoft Office. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
289.00294.69300.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
228.48234.17325.05
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details

Beijing Kingsoft Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Beijing Kingsoft is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Beijing Kingsoft's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Beijing Kingsoft Office, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Beijing Kingsoft within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.88
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
38.46
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Beijing Kingsoft Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Beijing Kingsoft for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Beijing Kingsoft Office can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Beijing Kingsoft is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Beijing Kingsoft appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Kingsoft Cloud upgraded by UBS on revenue growth optimism - MSN

Beijing Kingsoft Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Beijing Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Beijing Kingsoft's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beijing Kingsoft's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding461.7 M

Beijing Kingsoft Technical Analysis

Beijing Kingsoft's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Beijing Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Beijing Kingsoft Office. In general, you should focus on analyzing Beijing Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Beijing Kingsoft Predictive Forecast Models

Beijing Kingsoft's time-series forecasting models is one of many Beijing Kingsoft's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Beijing Kingsoft's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Beijing Kingsoft Office

Checking the ongoing alerts about Beijing Kingsoft for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Beijing Kingsoft Office help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Beijing Kingsoft is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Beijing Kingsoft appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Kingsoft Cloud upgraded by UBS on revenue growth optimism - MSN

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Kingsoft financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Kingsoft security.