Advanced Energy (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 932.0
| 6781 Stock | TWD 946.00 14.00 1.50% |
Advanced |
Advanced Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 932.0
The tendency of Advanced Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 932.00 or more in 90 days |
| 946.00 | 90 days | 932.00 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advanced Energy to drop to NT$ 932.00 or more in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Advanced Energy Solution probability density function shows the probability of Advanced Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Advanced Energy Solution price to stay between NT$ 932.00 and its current price of NT$946.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This suggests Advanced Energy Solution market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Advanced Energy is expected to follow. Moreover Advanced Energy Solution has an alpha of 1.028, implying that it can generate a 1.03 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Advanced Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Advanced Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advanced Energy Solution. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Advanced Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advanced Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advanced Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advanced Energy Solution, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advanced Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 187.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.30 |
Advanced Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Advanced Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Advanced Energy Solution can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Advanced Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Advanced Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Advanced Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Advanced Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advanced Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 85.4 M |
Advanced Energy Technical Analysis
Advanced Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Advanced Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Advanced Energy Solution. In general, you should focus on analyzing Advanced Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Advanced Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Advanced Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Advanced Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Advanced Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Advanced Energy Solution
Checking the ongoing alerts about Advanced Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Advanced Energy Solution help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Advanced Energy appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Advanced Stock Analysis
When running Advanced Energy's price analysis, check to measure Advanced Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advanced Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Advanced Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advanced Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advanced Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advanced Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.