Shuang Bang (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.47

6506 Stock  TWD 17.55  0.05  0.28%   
Shuang Bang's future price is the expected price of Shuang Bang instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shuang Bang Industrial performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shuang Bang Backtesting, Shuang Bang Valuation, Shuang Bang Correlation, Shuang Bang Hype Analysis, Shuang Bang Volatility, Shuang Bang History as well as Shuang Bang Performance.
  
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Shuang Bang Target Price Odds to finish below 14.47

The tendency of Shuang Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to NT$ 14.47  or more in 90 days
 17.55 90 days 14.47 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shuang Bang to drop to NT$ 14.47  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Shuang Bang Industrial probability density function shows the probability of Shuang Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shuang Bang Industrial price to stay between NT$ 14.47  and its current price of NT$17.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shuang Bang has a beta of 0.35. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Shuang Bang average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shuang Bang Industrial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shuang Bang Industrial has an alpha of 0.0417, implying that it can generate a 0.0417 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shuang Bang Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shuang Bang

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shuang Bang Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6617.5520.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.5615.4518.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.6117.5020.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.4117.6317.85
Details

Shuang Bang Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shuang Bang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shuang Bang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shuang Bang Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shuang Bang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.97
Ir
Information ratio -0.006

Shuang Bang Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shuang Bang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shuang Bang Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Shuang Bang Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shuang Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shuang Bang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shuang Bang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding82.4 M

Shuang Bang Technical Analysis

Shuang Bang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shuang Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shuang Bang Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shuang Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shuang Bang Predictive Forecast Models

Shuang Bang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shuang Bang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shuang Bang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shuang Bang Industrial

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shuang Bang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shuang Bang Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 38.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Shuang Stock Analysis

When running Shuang Bang's price analysis, check to measure Shuang Bang's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shuang Bang is operating at the current time. Most of Shuang Bang's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shuang Bang's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shuang Bang's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shuang Bang to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.