Zhongyin Babi (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 16.68

605338 Stock   17.70  0.10  0.57%   
Zhongyin Babi's future price is the expected price of Zhongyin Babi instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Zhongyin Babi Food performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Zhongyin Babi Backtesting, Zhongyin Babi Valuation, Zhongyin Babi Correlation, Zhongyin Babi Hype Analysis, Zhongyin Babi Volatility, Zhongyin Babi History as well as Zhongyin Babi Performance.
  
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Zhongyin Babi Target Price Odds to finish below 16.68

The tendency of Zhongyin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  16.68  or more in 90 days
 17.70 90 days 16.68 
about 77.8
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Zhongyin Babi to drop to  16.68  or more in 90 days from now is about 77.8 (This Zhongyin Babi Food probability density function shows the probability of Zhongyin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Zhongyin Babi Food price to stay between  16.68  and its current price of 17.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.35 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Zhongyin Babi has a beta of 0.26. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Zhongyin Babi average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Zhongyin Babi Food will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Zhongyin Babi Food has an alpha of 0.4662, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Zhongyin Babi Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Zhongyin Babi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhongyin Babi Food. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.1217.7020.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.3713.9519.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.6918.2720.84
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.200.220.27
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Zhongyin Babi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Zhongyin Babi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Zhongyin Babi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Zhongyin Babi Food.

Zhongyin Babi Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Zhongyin Babi is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Zhongyin Babi's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Zhongyin Babi Food, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Zhongyin Babi within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.47
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.56
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Zhongyin Babi Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Zhongyin Babi for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Zhongyin Babi Food can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Zhongyin Babi Food Co., Ltd.s Stocks Recent Performance Being Led By Its Attractive Financial Prospects - Simply Wall St

Zhongyin Babi Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Zhongyin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Zhongyin Babi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhongyin Babi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding250.1 M

Zhongyin Babi Technical Analysis

Zhongyin Babi's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Zhongyin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Zhongyin Babi Food. In general, you should focus on analyzing Zhongyin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Zhongyin Babi Predictive Forecast Models

Zhongyin Babi's time-series forecasting models is one of many Zhongyin Babi's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Zhongyin Babi's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Zhongyin Babi Food

Checking the ongoing alerts about Zhongyin Babi for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Zhongyin Babi Food help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Zhongyin Babi Food Co., Ltd.s Stocks Recent Performance Being Led By Its Attractive Financial Prospects - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Zhongyin Stock

Zhongyin Babi financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhongyin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhongyin with respect to the benefits of owning Zhongyin Babi security.