Shuhua Sports (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 9.41

605299 Stock   8.12  0.23  2.92%   
Shuhua Sports' future price is the expected price of Shuhua Sports instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shuhua Sports Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shuhua Sports Backtesting, Shuhua Sports Valuation, Shuhua Sports Correlation, Shuhua Sports Hype Analysis, Shuhua Sports Volatility, Shuhua Sports History as well as Shuhua Sports Performance.
  
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Shuhua Sports Target Price Odds to finish over 9.41

The tendency of Shuhua Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  9.41  or more in 90 days
 8.12 90 days 9.41 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shuhua Sports to move over  9.41  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Shuhua Sports Co probability density function shows the probability of Shuhua Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shuhua Sports price to stay between its current price of  8.12  and  9.41  at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shuhua Sports has a beta of 0.16. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Shuhua Sports average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shuhua Sports Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shuhua Sports Co has an alpha of 0.3156, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shuhua Sports Price Density   
JavaScript chart by amCharts 3.21.154.965.526.096.657.267.828.288.859.419.97Current PriceTargetShuhua Sports Mean 0.10.20.30.40.50.6
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shuhua Sports

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shuhua Sports. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.498.1210.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.618.2410.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shuhua Sports. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shuhua Sports' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shuhua Sports' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shuhua Sports.

Shuhua Sports Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shuhua Sports is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shuhua Sports' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shuhua Sports Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shuhua Sports within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Shuhua Sports Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shuhua Sports for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shuhua Sports can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Shuhua Sports Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shuhua Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shuhua Sports' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shuhua Sports' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding411.7 M
Dividends Paid103.4 M

Shuhua Sports Technical Analysis

Shuhua Sports' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shuhua Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shuhua Sports Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shuhua Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shuhua Sports Predictive Forecast Models

Shuhua Sports' time-series forecasting models is one of many Shuhua Sports' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shuhua Sports' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shuhua Sports

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shuhua Sports for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shuhua Sports help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Shuhua Stock

Shuhua Sports financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shuhua Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shuhua with respect to the benefits of owning Shuhua Sports security.
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