Yantai North (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 30.05

605198 Stock   27.65  0.20  0.72%   
Yantai North's future price is the expected price of Yantai North instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yantai North Andre performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yantai North Backtesting, Yantai North Valuation, Yantai North Correlation, Yantai North Hype Analysis, Yantai North Volatility, Yantai North History as well as Yantai North Performance.
  
Please specify Yantai North's target price for which you would like Yantai North odds to be computed.

Yantai North Target Price Odds to finish below 30.05

The tendency of Yantai Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  30.05  after 90 days
 27.65 90 days 30.05 
about 88.18
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yantai North to stay under  30.05  after 90 days from now is about 88.18 (This Yantai North Andre probability density function shows the probability of Yantai Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yantai North Andre price to stay between its current price of  27.65  and  30.05  at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yantai North Andre has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Yantai North are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Yantai North Andre is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Yantai North Andre has an alpha of 0.4978, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Yantai North Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yantai North

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yantai North Andre. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.7327.4831.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.5923.3430.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yantai North. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yantai North's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yantai North's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yantai North Andre.

Yantai North Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yantai North is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yantai North's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yantai North Andre, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yantai North within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.50
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
3.31
Ir
Information ratio 0.13

Yantai North Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yantai North for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yantai North Andre can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yantai North Andre had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Yantai North generates negative cash flow from operations
About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Yantai North Andre Juice Co. Changes External Auditor - TipRanks

Yantai North Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yantai Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yantai North's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yantai North's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding349 M

Yantai North Technical Analysis

Yantai North's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yantai Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yantai North Andre. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yantai Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yantai North Predictive Forecast Models

Yantai North's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yantai North's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yantai North's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yantai North Andre

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yantai North for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yantai North Andre help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yantai North Andre had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Yantai North generates negative cash flow from operations
About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Yantai North Andre Juice Co. Changes External Auditor - TipRanks

Other Information on Investing in Yantai Stock

Yantai North financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yantai Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yantai with respect to the benefits of owning Yantai North security.