Threes Company (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 71.18

605168 Stock   37.06  2.30  5.84%   
Threes Company's future price is the expected price of Threes Company instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Threes Company Media performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Threes Company Backtesting, Threes Company Valuation, Threes Company Correlation, Threes Company Hype Analysis, Threes Company Volatility, Threes Company History as well as Threes Company Performance.
  
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Threes Company Target Price Odds to finish below 71.18

The tendency of Threes Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  71.18  after 90 days
 37.06 90 days 71.18 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Threes Company to stay under  71.18  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Threes Company Media probability density function shows the probability of Threes Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Threes Company price to stay between its current price of  37.06  and  71.18  at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.9 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Threes Company Media has a beta of -0.14. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Threes Company are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Threes Company Media is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Threes Company Media has an alpha of 0.6846, implying that it can generate a 0.68 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Threes Company Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Threes Company

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Threes Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.7537.2641.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.2229.7340.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.801.811.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Threes Company. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Threes Company's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Threes Company's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Threes Company.

Threes Company Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Threes Company is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Threes Company's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Threes Company Media, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Threes Company within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.68
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
4.19
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Threes Company Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Threes Company for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Threes Company can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Threes Company appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Threes Company Media Group Co., Ltd. Surges 27 percent Yet Its Low PE Is No Reason For Excitement - Simply Wall St

Threes Company Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Threes Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Threes Company's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Threes Company's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding214.3 M

Threes Company Technical Analysis

Threes Company's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Threes Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Threes Company Media. In general, you should focus on analyzing Threes Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Threes Company Predictive Forecast Models

Threes Company's time-series forecasting models is one of many Threes Company's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Threes Company's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Threes Company

Checking the ongoing alerts about Threes Company for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Threes Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Threes Company appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Threes Company Media Group Co., Ltd. Surges 27 percent Yet Its Low PE Is No Reason For Excitement - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Threes Stock

Threes Company financial ratios help investors to determine whether Threes Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Threes with respect to the benefits of owning Threes Company security.