Fujian Anjoy (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 96.45

603345 Stock   92.01  2.30  2.44%   
Fujian Anjoy's future price is the expected price of Fujian Anjoy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fujian Anjoy Foods performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fujian Anjoy Backtesting, Fujian Anjoy Valuation, Fujian Anjoy Correlation, Fujian Anjoy Hype Analysis, Fujian Anjoy Volatility, Fujian Anjoy History as well as Fujian Anjoy Performance.
  
Please specify Fujian Anjoy's target price for which you would like Fujian Anjoy odds to be computed.

Fujian Anjoy Target Price Odds to finish over 96.45

The tendency of Fujian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  96.45  or more in 90 days
 92.01 90 days 96.45 
about 10.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fujian Anjoy to move over  96.45  or more in 90 days from now is about 10.13 (This Fujian Anjoy Foods probability density function shows the probability of Fujian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fujian Anjoy Foods price to stay between its current price of  92.01  and  96.45  at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.55 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Fujian Anjoy has a beta of 0.45. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Fujian Anjoy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Fujian Anjoy Foods will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Fujian Anjoy Foods has an alpha of 0.3364, implying that it can generate a 0.34 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fujian Anjoy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fujian Anjoy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fujian Anjoy Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
88.3192.0195.71
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
85.2888.9892.68
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fujian Anjoy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fujian Anjoy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fujian Anjoy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fujian Anjoy Foods.

Fujian Anjoy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fujian Anjoy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fujian Anjoy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fujian Anjoy Foods, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fujian Anjoy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.45
σ
Overall volatility
8.46
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Fujian Anjoy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fujian Anjoy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fujian Anjoy Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fujian Anjoy Foods appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Fujian Anjoy Foods is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Fujian Anjoy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fujian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fujian Anjoy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fujian Anjoy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding293.3 M

Fujian Anjoy Technical Analysis

Fujian Anjoy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fujian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fujian Anjoy Foods. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fujian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fujian Anjoy Predictive Forecast Models

Fujian Anjoy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fujian Anjoy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fujian Anjoy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fujian Anjoy Foods

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fujian Anjoy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fujian Anjoy Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fujian Anjoy Foods appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Fujian Anjoy Foods is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 34.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Fujian Stock

Fujian Anjoy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fujian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fujian with respect to the benefits of owning Fujian Anjoy security.