Great-Sun Foods (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 15.64
| 603336 Stock | 4.30 0.03 0.70% |
Great-Sun |
Great-Sun Foods Target Price Odds to finish over 15.64
The tendency of Great-Sun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 15.64 or more in 90 days |
| 4.30 | 90 days | 15.64 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Great-Sun Foods to move over 15.64 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Great Sun Foods Co probability density function shows the probability of Great-Sun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Great Sun Foods price to stay between its current price of 4.30 and 15.64 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Great-Sun Foods has a beta of 0.82. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Great-Sun Foods average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Great Sun Foods Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Great Sun Foods Co has an alpha of 0.4125, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Great-Sun Foods Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Great-Sun Foods
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Great Sun Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Great-Sun Foods Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Great-Sun Foods is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Great-Sun Foods' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Great Sun Foods Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Great-Sun Foods within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Great-Sun Foods Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Great-Sun Foods for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Great Sun Foods can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Great Sun Foods had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Great Sun Foods is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Great-Sun Foods generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Great-Sun Foods Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Great-Sun Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Great-Sun Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Great-Sun Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 570.4 M |
Great-Sun Foods Technical Analysis
Great-Sun Foods' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Great-Sun Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Great Sun Foods Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Great-Sun Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Great-Sun Foods Predictive Forecast Models
Great-Sun Foods' time-series forecasting models is one of many Great-Sun Foods' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Great-Sun Foods' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Great Sun Foods
Checking the ongoing alerts about Great-Sun Foods for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Great Sun Foods help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Great Sun Foods had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Great Sun Foods is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Great-Sun Foods generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Great-Sun Stock
Great-Sun Foods financial ratios help investors to determine whether Great-Sun Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Great-Sun with respect to the benefits of owning Great-Sun Foods security.