Shandong Sinoglory (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 19.58

603182 Stock   11.93  0.09  0.76%   
Shandong Sinoglory's future price is the expected price of Shandong Sinoglory instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Shandong Sinoglory Health performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Shandong Sinoglory Backtesting, Shandong Sinoglory Valuation, Shandong Sinoglory Correlation, Shandong Sinoglory Hype Analysis, Shandong Sinoglory Volatility, Shandong Sinoglory History as well as Shandong Sinoglory Performance.
  
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Shandong Sinoglory Target Price Odds to finish over 19.58

The tendency of Shandong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  19.58  or more in 90 days
 11.93 90 days 19.58 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Shandong Sinoglory to move over  19.58  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Shandong Sinoglory Health probability density function shows the probability of Shandong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Shandong Sinoglory Health price to stay between its current price of  11.93  and  19.58  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Shandong Sinoglory has a beta of 0.66. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Shandong Sinoglory average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Shandong Sinoglory Health will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Shandong Sinoglory Health has an alpha of 0.2395, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Shandong Sinoglory Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Shandong Sinoglory

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shandong Sinoglory Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.2711.9614.65
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.2511.9414.63
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shandong Sinoglory. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shandong Sinoglory's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shandong Sinoglory's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shandong Sinoglory Health.

Shandong Sinoglory Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Shandong Sinoglory is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Shandong Sinoglory's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Shandong Sinoglory Health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Shandong Sinoglory within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.66
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

Shandong Sinoglory Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Shandong Sinoglory for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Shandong Sinoglory Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Shandong Sinoglory Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Shandong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Shandong Sinoglory's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shandong Sinoglory's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding164.6 M

Shandong Sinoglory Technical Analysis

Shandong Sinoglory's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Shandong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Shandong Sinoglory Health. In general, you should focus on analyzing Shandong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Shandong Sinoglory Predictive Forecast Models

Shandong Sinoglory's time-series forecasting models is one of many Shandong Sinoglory's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Shandong Sinoglory's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Shandong Sinoglory Health

Checking the ongoing alerts about Shandong Sinoglory for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Shandong Sinoglory Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Shandong Stock

Shandong Sinoglory financial ratios help investors to determine whether Shandong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Shandong with respect to the benefits of owning Shandong Sinoglory security.