Jinhui Mining (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 9.44

603132 Stock   11.80  0.13  1.09%   
Jinhui Mining's future price is the expected price of Jinhui Mining instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Jinhui Mining Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Jinhui Mining Backtesting, Jinhui Mining Valuation, Jinhui Mining Correlation, Jinhui Mining Hype Analysis, Jinhui Mining Volatility, Jinhui Mining History as well as Jinhui Mining Performance.
  
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Jinhui Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 9.44

The tendency of Jinhui Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  9.44  or more in 90 days
 11.80 90 days 9.44 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Jinhui Mining to drop to  9.44  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Jinhui Mining Co probability density function shows the probability of Jinhui Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Jinhui Mining price to stay between  9.44  and its current price of 11.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.64 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Jinhui Mining Co has a beta of -0.31. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Jinhui Mining are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Jinhui Mining Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Jinhui Mining Co has an alpha of 0.1422, implying that it can generate a 0.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Jinhui Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Jinhui Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Jinhui Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.2911.8014.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.339.8412.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.1811.6814.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.7711.8711.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Jinhui Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Jinhui Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Jinhui Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Jinhui Mining.

Jinhui Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Jinhui Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Jinhui Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Jinhui Mining Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Jinhui Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.69
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Jinhui Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Jinhui Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Jinhui Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 Stocks Estimated To Be Trading At A Discount Of Up To 32.9 percent - Simply Wall St

Jinhui Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Jinhui Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Jinhui Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Jinhui Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding978 M

Jinhui Mining Technical Analysis

Jinhui Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Jinhui Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Jinhui Mining Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Jinhui Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Jinhui Mining Predictive Forecast Models

Jinhui Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Jinhui Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Jinhui Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Jinhui Mining

Checking the ongoing alerts about Jinhui Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Jinhui Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: 3 Stocks Estimated To Be Trading At A Discount Of Up To 32.9 percent - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Jinhui Stock

Jinhui Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Jinhui Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Jinhui with respect to the benefits of owning Jinhui Mining security.