Capital Futures (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 59.06

6024 Stock  TWD 57.60  0.60  1.03%   
Capital Futures' future price is the expected price of Capital Futures instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Capital Futures Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Capital Futures Backtesting, Capital Futures Valuation, Capital Futures Correlation, Capital Futures Hype Analysis, Capital Futures Volatility, Capital Futures History as well as Capital Futures Performance.
  
Please specify Capital Futures' target price for which you would like Capital Futures odds to be computed.

Capital Futures Target Price Odds to finish over 59.06

The tendency of Capital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over NT$ 59.06  or more in 90 days
 57.60 90 days 59.06 
about 7.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Capital Futures to move over NT$ 59.06  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.13 (This Capital Futures Corp probability density function shows the probability of Capital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Capital Futures Corp price to stay between its current price of NT$ 57.60  and NT$ 59.06  at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Capital Futures has a beta of 0.24. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Capital Futures average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Capital Futures Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Capital Futures Corp has an alpha of 0.0508, implying that it can generate a 0.0508 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Capital Futures Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Capital Futures

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Capital Futures Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.6557.6058.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
56.7557.7058.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
56.4357.3958.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
55.3957.6759.95
Details

Capital Futures Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Capital Futures is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Capital Futures' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Capital Futures Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Capital Futures within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
1.18
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Capital Futures Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Capital Futures for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Capital Futures Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Capital Futures Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Capital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Capital Futures' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital Futures' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding210.4 M

Capital Futures Technical Analysis

Capital Futures' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Capital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Capital Futures Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Capital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Capital Futures Predictive Forecast Models

Capital Futures' time-series forecasting models is one of many Capital Futures' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Capital Futures' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Capital Futures Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Capital Futures for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Capital Futures Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 61.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Capital Stock Analysis

When running Capital Futures' price analysis, check to measure Capital Futures' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital Futures is operating at the current time. Most of Capital Futures' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital Futures' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital Futures' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital Futures to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.