Caitong Securities (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.81
| 601108 Stock | 8.25 0.16 1.90% |
Caitong |
Caitong Securities Target Price Odds to finish over 17.81
The tendency of Caitong Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 17.81 or more in 90 days |
| 8.25 | 90 days | 17.81 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Caitong Securities to move over 17.81 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Caitong Securities Co probability density function shows the probability of Caitong Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Caitong Securities price to stay between its current price of 8.25 and 17.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.96 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Caitong Securities Co has a beta of -0.35. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Caitong Securities are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Caitong Securities Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Caitong Securities Co has an alpha of 0.4644, implying that it can generate a 0.46 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Caitong Securities Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Caitong Securities
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caitong Securities. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Caitong Securities Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Caitong Securities is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Caitong Securities' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Caitong Securities Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Caitong Securities within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.35 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Caitong Securities Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Caitong Securities for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Caitong Securities can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Caitong Securities had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Caitong Securities generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Caitong Securities Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Caitong Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Caitong Securities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caitong Securities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.6 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.6 B | |
| Shares Float | 3 B |
Caitong Securities Technical Analysis
Caitong Securities' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Caitong Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Caitong Securities Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Caitong Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Caitong Securities Predictive Forecast Models
Caitong Securities' time-series forecasting models is one of many Caitong Securities' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Caitong Securities' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Caitong Securities
Checking the ongoing alerts about Caitong Securities for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Caitong Securities help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Caitong Securities had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Caitong Securities generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Other Information on Investing in Caitong Stock
Caitong Securities financial ratios help investors to determine whether Caitong Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Caitong with respect to the benefits of owning Caitong Securities security.