Sino-Platinum Metals (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.04

600459 Stock   14.44  0.15  1.05%   
Sino-Platinum Metals' future price is the expected price of Sino-Platinum Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sino Platinum Metals Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sino-Platinum Metals Backtesting, Sino-Platinum Metals Valuation, Sino-Platinum Metals Correlation, Sino-Platinum Metals Hype Analysis, Sino-Platinum Metals Volatility, Sino-Platinum Metals History as well as Sino-Platinum Metals Performance.
  
Please specify Sino-Platinum Metals' target price for which you would like Sino-Platinum Metals odds to be computed.

Sino-Platinum Metals Target Price Odds to finish below 14.04

The tendency of Sino-Platinum Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  14.04  or more in 90 days
 14.44 90 days 14.04 
about 68.73
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sino-Platinum Metals to drop to  14.04  or more in 90 days from now is about 68.73 (This Sino Platinum Metals Co probability density function shows the probability of Sino-Platinum Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sino Platinum Metals price to stay between  14.04  and its current price of 14.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 26.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sino Platinum Metals Co has a beta of -0.0383. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sino-Platinum Metals are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sino Platinum Metals Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sino Platinum Metals Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Sino-Platinum Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sino-Platinum Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sino Platinum Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1614.3015.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.0114.1415.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.1114.2615.40
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sino-Platinum Metals. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sino-Platinum Metals' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sino-Platinum Metals' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sino Platinum Metals.

Sino-Platinum Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sino-Platinum Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sino-Platinum Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sino Platinum Metals Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sino-Platinum Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.32
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Sino-Platinum Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sino-Platinum Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sino Platinum Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sino Platinum Metals is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Has Sino-Platinum Metals Co.,Ltd Stocks Recent Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Financial Health - Simply Wall St

Sino-Platinum Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sino-Platinum Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sino-Platinum Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sino-Platinum Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding761 M
Dividends Paid216.1 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.19

Sino-Platinum Metals Technical Analysis

Sino-Platinum Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sino-Platinum Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sino Platinum Metals Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sino-Platinum Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sino-Platinum Metals Predictive Forecast Models

Sino-Platinum Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sino-Platinum Metals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sino-Platinum Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sino Platinum Metals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sino-Platinum Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sino Platinum Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sino Platinum Metals is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Has Sino-Platinum Metals Co.,Ltd Stocks Recent Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Financial Health - Simply Wall St

Other Information on Investing in Sino-Platinum Stock

Sino-Platinum Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sino-Platinum Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sino-Platinum with respect to the benefits of owning Sino-Platinum Metals security.