Chinese Universe (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.69

600373 Stock   13.04  0.17  1.32%   
Chinese Universe's future price is the expected price of Chinese Universe instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Chinese Universe Publishing performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Chinese Universe Backtesting, Chinese Universe Valuation, Chinese Universe Correlation, Chinese Universe Hype Analysis, Chinese Universe Volatility, Chinese Universe History as well as Chinese Universe Performance.
  
Please specify Chinese Universe's target price for which you would like Chinese Universe odds to be computed.

Chinese Universe Target Price Odds to finish below 14.69

The tendency of Chinese Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  14.69  after 90 days
 13.04 90 days 14.69 
about 89.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chinese Universe to stay under  14.69  after 90 days from now is about 89.14 (This Chinese Universe Publishing probability density function shows the probability of Chinese Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chinese Universe Pub price to stay between its current price of  13.04  and  14.69  at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chinese Universe has a beta of 0.13. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Chinese Universe average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Chinese Universe Publishing will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Chinese Universe Publishing has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Chinese Universe Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Chinese Universe

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chinese Universe Pub. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.4113.0515.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9213.5616.20
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Chinese Universe. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Chinese Universe's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Chinese Universe's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Chinese Universe Pub.

Chinese Universe Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chinese Universe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chinese Universe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chinese Universe Publishing, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chinese Universe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.13
σ
Overall volatility
0.92
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Chinese Universe Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chinese Universe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chinese Universe Pub can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chinese Universe Pub generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Universe Pharmaceuticals secures 15 million in share sale - Investing.com

Chinese Universe Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chinese Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chinese Universe's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chinese Universe's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B

Chinese Universe Technical Analysis

Chinese Universe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chinese Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chinese Universe Publishing. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chinese Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Chinese Universe Predictive Forecast Models

Chinese Universe's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chinese Universe's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chinese Universe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Chinese Universe Pub

Checking the ongoing alerts about Chinese Universe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chinese Universe Pub help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Chinese Universe Pub generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 55.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees
Latest headline from news.google.com: Universe Pharmaceuticals secures 15 million in share sale - Investing.com

Other Information on Investing in Chinese Stock

Chinese Universe financial ratios help investors to determine whether Chinese Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Chinese with respect to the benefits of owning Chinese Universe security.