Rising Nonferrous (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 39.10
| 600259 Stock | 28.28 0.71 2.45% |
Rising |
Rising Nonferrous Target Price Odds to finish over 39.10
The tendency of Rising Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 39.10 or more in 90 days |
| 28.28 | 90 days | 39.10 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Rising Nonferrous to move over 39.10 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Rising Nonferrous Metals probability density function shows the probability of Rising Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Rising Nonferrous Metals price to stay between its current price of 28.28 and 39.10 at the end of the 90-day period is about 66.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Rising Nonferrous Metals has a beta of -0.61. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Rising Nonferrous are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Rising Nonferrous Metals is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Rising Nonferrous Metals has an alpha of 0.2867, implying that it can generate a 0.29 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Rising Nonferrous Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Rising Nonferrous
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rising Nonferrous Metals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rising Nonferrous Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Rising Nonferrous is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Rising Nonferrous' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Rising Nonferrous Metals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Rising Nonferrous within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.29 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.61 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Rising Nonferrous Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Rising Nonferrous for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Rising Nonferrous Metals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Rising Nonferrous had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Rising Nonferrous generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Copper loses nearly 5 percent of its value in November - Recycling Today |
Rising Nonferrous Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Rising Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Rising Nonferrous' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rising Nonferrous' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 336.4 M |
Rising Nonferrous Technical Analysis
Rising Nonferrous' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Rising Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Rising Nonferrous Metals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Rising Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Rising Nonferrous Predictive Forecast Models
Rising Nonferrous' time-series forecasting models is one of many Rising Nonferrous' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Rising Nonferrous' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Rising Nonferrous Metals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Rising Nonferrous for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Rising Nonferrous Metals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Rising Nonferrous had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Rising Nonferrous generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 43.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Copper loses nearly 5 percent of its value in November - Recycling Today |
Other Information on Investing in Rising Stock
Rising Nonferrous financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rising Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rising with respect to the benefits of owning Rising Nonferrous security.