Beijing Wandong (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.76

600055 Stock   16.26  0.10  0.62%   
Beijing Wandong's future price is the expected price of Beijing Wandong instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Beijing Wandong Medical performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Beijing Wandong Backtesting, Beijing Wandong Valuation, Beijing Wandong Correlation, Beijing Wandong Hype Analysis, Beijing Wandong Volatility, Beijing Wandong History as well as Beijing Wandong Performance.
  
Please specify Beijing Wandong's target price for which you would like Beijing Wandong odds to be computed.

Beijing Wandong Target Price Odds to finish below 18.76

The tendency of Beijing Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  18.76  after 90 days
 16.26 90 days 18.76 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Beijing Wandong to stay under  18.76  after 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Beijing Wandong Medical probability density function shows the probability of Beijing Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Beijing Wandong Medical price to stay between its current price of  16.26  and  18.76  at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.07 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Beijing Wandong has a beta of 0.34. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Beijing Wandong average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Beijing Wandong Medical will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Beijing Wandong Medical has an alpha of 0.4516, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Beijing Wandong Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Beijing Wandong

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beijing Wandong Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.0516.2619.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.4315.6418.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
13.3616.5619.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.000.000.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Beijing Wandong. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Beijing Wandong's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Beijing Wandong's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Beijing Wandong Medical.

Beijing Wandong Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Beijing Wandong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Beijing Wandong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Beijing Wandong Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Beijing Wandong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
1.89
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

Beijing Wandong Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Beijing Wandong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Beijing Wandong Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Beijing Wandong appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Beijing Wandong Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Beijing Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Beijing Wandong's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beijing Wandong's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding703.1 M

Beijing Wandong Technical Analysis

Beijing Wandong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Beijing Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Beijing Wandong Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Beijing Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Beijing Wandong Predictive Forecast Models

Beijing Wandong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Beijing Wandong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Beijing Wandong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Beijing Wandong Medical

Checking the ongoing alerts about Beijing Wandong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Beijing Wandong Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Beijing Wandong appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 52.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Beijing Stock

Beijing Wandong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Beijing Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Beijing with respect to the benefits of owning Beijing Wandong security.