Kunwu Jiuding (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27.48

600053 Stock   14.42  0.58  3.87%   
Kunwu Jiuding's future price is the expected price of Kunwu Jiuding instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Kunwu Jiuding Investment performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Kunwu Jiuding Backtesting, Kunwu Jiuding Valuation, Kunwu Jiuding Correlation, Kunwu Jiuding Hype Analysis, Kunwu Jiuding Volatility, Kunwu Jiuding History as well as Kunwu Jiuding Performance.
  
Please specify Kunwu Jiuding's target price for which you would like Kunwu Jiuding odds to be computed.

Kunwu Jiuding Target Price Odds to finish over 27.48

The tendency of Kunwu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  27.48  or more in 90 days
 14.42 90 days 27.48 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kunwu Jiuding to move over  27.48  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Kunwu Jiuding Investment probability density function shows the probability of Kunwu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kunwu Jiuding Investment price to stay between its current price of  14.42  and  27.48  at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Kunwu Jiuding has a beta of 0.26. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Kunwu Jiuding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kunwu Jiuding Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kunwu Jiuding Investment has an alpha of 0.2182, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Kunwu Jiuding Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Kunwu Jiuding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kunwu Jiuding Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5114.4218.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.6415.5519.46
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.9813.8917.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.0215.9122.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kunwu Jiuding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kunwu Jiuding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kunwu Jiuding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kunwu Jiuding Investment.

Kunwu Jiuding Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kunwu Jiuding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kunwu Jiuding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kunwu Jiuding Investment, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kunwu Jiuding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Kunwu Jiuding Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kunwu Jiuding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kunwu Jiuding Investment can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kunwu Jiuding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kunwu Jiuding has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Kunwu Jiuding generates negative cash flow from operations
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Kunwu Jiuding Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kunwu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kunwu Jiuding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kunwu Jiuding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding433.5 M

Kunwu Jiuding Technical Analysis

Kunwu Jiuding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kunwu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kunwu Jiuding Investment. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kunwu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Kunwu Jiuding Predictive Forecast Models

Kunwu Jiuding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kunwu Jiuding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kunwu Jiuding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Kunwu Jiuding Investment

Checking the ongoing alerts about Kunwu Jiuding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kunwu Jiuding Investment help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Kunwu Jiuding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Kunwu Jiuding has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Kunwu Jiuding generates negative cash flow from operations
About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Kunwu Stock

Kunwu Jiuding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kunwu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kunwu with respect to the benefits of owning Kunwu Jiuding security.