Sun Sea (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18.3
| 5516 Stock | TWD 18.40 0.10 0.55% |
Sun |
Sun Sea Target Price Odds to finish below 18.3
The tendency of Sun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 18.30 or more in 90 days |
| 18.40 | 90 days | 18.30 | about 50.22 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sun Sea to drop to NT$ 18.30 or more in 90 days from now is about 50.22 (This Sun Sea Construction probability density function shows the probability of Sun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sun Sea Construction price to stay between NT$ 18.30 and its current price of NT$18.4 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sun Sea has a beta of 0.0921. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Sun Sea average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Sun Sea Construction will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Sun Sea Construction has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sun Sea Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sun Sea
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sun Sea Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sun Sea Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sun Sea is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sun Sea's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sun Sea Construction, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sun Sea within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.83 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Sun Sea Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sun Sea for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sun Sea Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sun Sea Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sun Sea Construction has accumulated about 145.92 M in cash with (193.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.21. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Sun Sea Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sun Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sun Sea's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sun Sea's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 7.7 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 1.4 B |
Sun Sea Technical Analysis
Sun Sea's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sun Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sun Sea Construction. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sun Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sun Sea Predictive Forecast Models
Sun Sea's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sun Sea's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sun Sea's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sun Sea Construction
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sun Sea for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sun Sea Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sun Sea Construction generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sun Sea Construction has accumulated about 145.92 M in cash with (193.47 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.21. | |
| Roughly 68.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Sun Stock Analysis
When running Sun Sea's price analysis, check to measure Sun Sea's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sun Sea is operating at the current time. Most of Sun Sea's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sun Sea's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sun Sea's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sun Sea to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.