Chien Kuo (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 27.93
| 5515 Stock | TWD 27.85 0.05 0.18% |
Chien |
Chien Kuo Target Price Odds to finish below 27.93
The tendency of Chien Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under NT$ 27.93 after 90 days |
| 27.85 | 90 days | 27.93 | about 89.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Chien Kuo to stay under NT$ 27.93 after 90 days from now is about 89.07 (This Chien Kuo Construction probability density function shows the probability of Chien Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Chien Kuo Construction price to stay between its current price of NT$ 27.85 and NT$ 27.93 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Chien Kuo Construction has a beta of -0.39. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Chien Kuo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Chien Kuo Construction is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Chien Kuo Construction has an alpha of 0.4384, implying that it can generate a 0.44 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Chien Kuo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Chien Kuo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chien Kuo Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Chien Kuo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Chien Kuo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Chien Kuo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Chien Kuo Construction, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Chien Kuo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Chien Kuo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Chien Kuo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Chien Kuo Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Chien Kuo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Chien Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Chien Kuo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chien Kuo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 257.4 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 206 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 238.1 M |
Chien Kuo Technical Analysis
Chien Kuo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Chien Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Chien Kuo Construction. In general, you should focus on analyzing Chien Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Chien Kuo Predictive Forecast Models
Chien Kuo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Chien Kuo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Chien Kuo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Chien Kuo Construction
Checking the ongoing alerts about Chien Kuo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Chien Kuo Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 45.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Chien Stock Analysis
When running Chien Kuo's price analysis, check to measure Chien Kuo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chien Kuo is operating at the current time. Most of Chien Kuo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chien Kuo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chien Kuo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chien Kuo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.