XAC Automation (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.44
| 5490 Stock | TWD 25.30 0.10 0.40% |
XAC |
XAC Automation Target Price Odds to finish below 23.44
The tendency of XAC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 23.44 or more in 90 days |
| 25.30 | 90 days | 23.44 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of XAC Automation to drop to NT$ 23.44 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This XAC Automation probability density function shows the probability of XAC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of XAC Automation price to stay between NT$ 23.44 and its current price of NT$25.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon XAC Automation has a beta of -0.0288. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding XAC Automation are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, XAC Automation is likely to outperform the market. Additionally XAC Automation has an alpha of 0.0129, implying that it can generate a 0.0129 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). XAC Automation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for XAC Automation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XAC Automation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.XAC Automation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. XAC Automation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the XAC Automation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold XAC Automation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of XAC Automation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
XAC Automation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of XAC Automation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for XAC Automation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| XAC Automation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| XAC Automation has accumulated about 962.4 M in cash with (265.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.17. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
XAC Automation Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of XAC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential XAC Automation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. XAC Automation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 93.2 M |
XAC Automation Technical Analysis
XAC Automation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XAC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of XAC Automation. In general, you should focus on analyzing XAC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
XAC Automation Predictive Forecast Models
XAC Automation's time-series forecasting models is one of many XAC Automation's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary XAC Automation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about XAC Automation
Checking the ongoing alerts about XAC Automation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for XAC Automation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| XAC Automation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| XAC Automation has accumulated about 962.4 M in cash with (265.2 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 10.17. | |
| Roughly 25.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for XAC Stock Analysis
When running XAC Automation's price analysis, check to measure XAC Automation's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy XAC Automation is operating at the current time. Most of XAC Automation's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of XAC Automation's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move XAC Automation's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of XAC Automation to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.