Huaxia Fund (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.39
| 508077 Stock | 2.70 0.09 3.45% |
Huaxia |
Huaxia Fund Target Price Odds to finish over 3.39
The tendency of Huaxia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 3.39 or more in 90 days |
| 2.70 | 90 days | 3.39 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Huaxia Fund to move over 3.39 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Huaxia Fund Management probability density function shows the probability of Huaxia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Huaxia Fund Management price to stay between its current price of 2.70 and 3.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.86 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Huaxia Fund has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Huaxia Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Huaxia Fund Management will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Huaxia Fund Management has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Huaxia Fund Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Huaxia Fund
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Huaxia Fund Management. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Huaxia Fund Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Huaxia Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Huaxia Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Huaxia Fund Management, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Huaxia Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Huaxia Fund Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Huaxia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Huaxia Fund's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Huaxia Fund's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0298 |
Huaxia Fund Technical Analysis
Huaxia Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Huaxia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Huaxia Fund Management. In general, you should focus on analyzing Huaxia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Huaxia Fund Predictive Forecast Models
Huaxia Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Huaxia Fund's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Huaxia Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Huaxia Fund in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Huaxia Fund's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Huaxia Fund options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Huaxia Stock
Huaxia Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Huaxia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Huaxia with respect to the benefits of owning Huaxia Fund security.