Aon PLC (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 403.97
| 4VK Stock | EUR 342.50 0.00 0.00% |
Aon |
Aon PLC Target Price Odds to finish over 403.97
The tendency of Aon Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 403.97 or more in 90 days |
| 342.50 | 90 days | 403.97 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aon PLC to move over € 403.97 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Aon PLC probability density function shows the probability of Aon Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aon PLC price to stay between its current price of € 342.50 and € 403.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.11 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Aon PLC has a beta of 0.19. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aon PLC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aon PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aon PLC has an alpha of 0.1472, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aon PLC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aon PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aon PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aon PLC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aon PLC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aon PLC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aon PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aon PLC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Aon PLC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aon PLC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aon PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Aon PLC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aon Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aon PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aon PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 205.4 M |
Aon PLC Technical Analysis
Aon PLC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aon Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aon PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aon Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aon PLC Predictive Forecast Models
Aon PLC's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aon PLC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aon PLC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aon PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aon PLC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aon PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Aon Stock
When determining whether Aon PLC offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Aon PLC's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Aon Plc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Aon Plc Stock:Check out Aon PLC Backtesting, Aon PLC Valuation, Aon PLC Correlation, Aon PLC Hype Analysis, Aon PLC Volatility, Aon PLC History as well as Aon PLC Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Aon Stock please use our How to Invest in Aon PLC guide.You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.