HEALTHCARE TRPFD (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.11
| 4ON Stock | 13.50 0.90 7.14% |
HEALTHCARE |
HEALTHCARE TRPFD Target Price Odds to finish below 7.11
The tendency of HEALTHCARE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 7.11 or more in 90 days |
| 13.50 | 90 days | 7.11 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HEALTHCARE TRPFD to drop to 7.11 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This HEALTHCARE TRPFD SH probability density function shows the probability of HEALTHCARE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of HEALTHCARE TRPFD price to stay between 7.11 and its current price of 13.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.23 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon HEALTHCARE TRPFD SH has a beta of -0.38. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding HEALTHCARE TRPFD are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, HEALTHCARE TRPFD SH is likely to outperform the market. Additionally HEALTHCARE TRPFD SH has an alpha of 0.1054, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). HEALTHCARE TRPFD Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HEALTHCARE TRPFD
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HEALTHCARE TRPFD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.HEALTHCARE TRPFD Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HEALTHCARE TRPFD is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HEALTHCARE TRPFD's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HEALTHCARE TRPFD SH, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HEALTHCARE TRPFD within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.42 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
HEALTHCARE TRPFD Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HEALTHCARE TRPFD for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HEALTHCARE TRPFD can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HEALTHCARE TRPFD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| HEALTHCARE TRPFD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
HEALTHCARE TRPFD Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HEALTHCARE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HEALTHCARE TRPFD's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HEALTHCARE TRPFD's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0826 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.7 | |
| Shares Float | 106.5 M |
HEALTHCARE TRPFD Technical Analysis
HEALTHCARE TRPFD's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. HEALTHCARE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of HEALTHCARE TRPFD SH. In general, you should focus on analyzing HEALTHCARE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
HEALTHCARE TRPFD Predictive Forecast Models
HEALTHCARE TRPFD's time-series forecasting models is one of many HEALTHCARE TRPFD's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary HEALTHCARE TRPFD's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about HEALTHCARE TRPFD
Checking the ongoing alerts about HEALTHCARE TRPFD for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for HEALTHCARE TRPFD help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| HEALTHCARE TRPFD generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| HEALTHCARE TRPFD has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years |
Other Information on Investing in HEALTHCARE Stock
HEALTHCARE TRPFD financial ratios help investors to determine whether HEALTHCARE Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HEALTHCARE with respect to the benefits of owning HEALTHCARE TRPFD security.