Philip Morris (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 122.36
| 4I1 Stock | EUR 117.46 2.32 1.94% |
Philip |
Philip Morris Target Price Odds to finish below 122.36
The tendency of Philip Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 122.36 after 90 days |
| 117.46 | 90 days | 122.36 | about 77.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Philip Morris to stay under € 122.36 after 90 days from now is about 77.5 (This Philip Morris International probability density function shows the probability of Philip Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Philip Morris Intern price to stay between its current price of € 117.46 and € 122.36 at the end of the 90-day period is about 27.8 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Philip Morris International has a beta of -0.41. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Philip Morris are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Philip Morris International is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Philip Morris International has an alpha of 0.1662, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Philip Morris Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Philip Morris
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Philip Morris Intern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Philip Morris Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Philip Morris is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Philip Morris' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Philip Morris International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Philip Morris within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 6.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Philip Morris Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Philip Morris for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Philip Morris Intern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Philip Morris International has accumulated 34.88 B in total debt. Philip Morris Intern has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Philip Morris until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Philip Morris' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Philip Morris Intern sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Philip to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Philip Morris' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Philip Morris Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Philip Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Philip Morris' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Philip Morris' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.6 B |
Philip Morris Technical Analysis
Philip Morris' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Philip Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Philip Morris International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Philip Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Philip Morris Predictive Forecast Models
Philip Morris' time-series forecasting models is one of many Philip Morris' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Philip Morris' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Philip Morris Intern
Checking the ongoing alerts about Philip Morris for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Philip Morris Intern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Philip Morris International has accumulated 34.88 B in total debt. Philip Morris Intern has a current ratio of 0.93, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Philip Morris until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Philip Morris' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Philip Morris Intern sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Philip to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Philip Morris' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutions such as pension funds |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Philip Stock
When determining whether Philip Morris Intern is a strong investment it is important to analyze Philip Morris' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Philip Morris' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Philip Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Philip Morris Backtesting, Philip Morris Valuation, Philip Morris Correlation, Philip Morris Hype Analysis, Philip Morris Volatility, Philip Morris History as well as Philip Morris Performance. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.