4C Group (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.8
| 4C Stock | 10.05 0.05 0.50% |
4C Group |
4C Group Target Price Odds to finish below 13.8
The tendency of 4C Group Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 13.80 after 90 days |
| 10.05 | 90 days | 13.80 | about 40.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 4C Group to stay under 13.80 after 90 days from now is about 40.23 (This 4C Group AB probability density function shows the probability of 4C Group Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 4C Group AB price to stay between its current price of 10.05 and 13.80 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.53 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon 4C Group AB has a beta of -0.25. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 4C Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, 4C Group AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally 4C Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 4C Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for 4C Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 4C Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 4C Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
4C Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 4C Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 4C Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 4C Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 4C Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.63 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
4C Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 4C Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 4C Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 4C Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 4C Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
4C Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 4C Group Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 4C Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 4C Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 33.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 66 M |
4C Group Technical Analysis
4C Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 4C Group Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 4C Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing 4C Group Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
4C Group Predictive Forecast Models
4C Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many 4C Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 4C Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 4C Group AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about 4C Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 4C Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| 4C Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 4C Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for 4C Group Stock Analysis
When running 4C Group's price analysis, check to measure 4C Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 4C Group is operating at the current time. Most of 4C Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 4C Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 4C Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 4C Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.