CENTURIA OFFICE (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.79

47X Stock   0.66  0.02  2.94%   
CENTURIA OFFICE's future price is the expected price of CENTURIA OFFICE instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CENTURIA OFFICE REIT performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CENTURIA OFFICE Backtesting, CENTURIA OFFICE Valuation, CENTURIA OFFICE Correlation, CENTURIA OFFICE Hype Analysis, CENTURIA OFFICE Volatility, CENTURIA OFFICE History as well as CENTURIA OFFICE Performance.
  
Please specify CENTURIA OFFICE's target price for which you would like CENTURIA OFFICE odds to be computed.

CENTURIA OFFICE Target Price Odds to finish over 0.79

The tendency of CENTURIA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  0.79  or more in 90 days
 0.66 90 days 0.79 
about 1.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CENTURIA OFFICE to move over  0.79  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.36 (This CENTURIA OFFICE REIT probability density function shows the probability of CENTURIA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CENTURIA OFFICE REIT price to stay between its current price of  0.66  and  0.79  at the end of the 90-day period is over 95.72 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CENTURIA OFFICE has a beta of 0.35. This suggests as returns on the market go up, CENTURIA OFFICE average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CENTURIA OFFICE REIT will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CENTURIA OFFICE REIT has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CENTURIA OFFICE Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CENTURIA OFFICE

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CENTURIA OFFICE REIT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.662.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.692.23
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.622.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.670.710.74
Details

CENTURIA OFFICE Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CENTURIA OFFICE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CENTURIA OFFICE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CENTURIA OFFICE REIT, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CENTURIA OFFICE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

CENTURIA OFFICE Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CENTURIA OFFICE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CENTURIA OFFICE REIT can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CENTURIA OFFICE REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CENTURIA OFFICE REIT has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

CENTURIA OFFICE Technical Analysis

CENTURIA OFFICE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CENTURIA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CENTURIA OFFICE REIT. In general, you should focus on analyzing CENTURIA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CENTURIA OFFICE Predictive Forecast Models

CENTURIA OFFICE's time-series forecasting models is one of many CENTURIA OFFICE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CENTURIA OFFICE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CENTURIA OFFICE REIT

Checking the ongoing alerts about CENTURIA OFFICE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CENTURIA OFFICE REIT help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CENTURIA OFFICE REIT generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CENTURIA OFFICE REIT has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock

Other Information on Investing in CENTURIA Stock

CENTURIA OFFICE financial ratios help investors to determine whether CENTURIA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CENTURIA with respect to the benefits of owning CENTURIA OFFICE security.