Ma Kuang (Taiwan) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 25.76
| 4139 Stock | TWD 29.95 0.25 0.84% |
4139 |
Ma Kuang Target Price Odds to finish below 25.76
The tendency of 4139 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to NT$ 25.76 or more in 90 days |
| 29.95 | 90 days | 25.76 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ma Kuang to drop to NT$ 25.76 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Ma Kuang Healthcare probability density function shows the probability of 4139 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ma Kuang Healthcare price to stay between NT$ 25.76 and its current price of NT$29.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.41 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ma Kuang Healthcare has a beta of -0.19. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ma Kuang are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ma Kuang Healthcare is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ma Kuang Healthcare has an alpha of 0.0308, implying that it can generate a 0.0308 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ma Kuang Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Ma Kuang
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ma Kuang Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ma Kuang Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ma Kuang is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ma Kuang's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ma Kuang Healthcare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ma Kuang within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Ma Kuang Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ma Kuang for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ma Kuang Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ma Kuang Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Ma Kuang Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 4139 Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ma Kuang's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ma Kuang's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.5 M |
Ma Kuang Technical Analysis
Ma Kuang's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 4139 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ma Kuang Healthcare. In general, you should focus on analyzing 4139 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ma Kuang Predictive Forecast Models
Ma Kuang's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ma Kuang's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ma Kuang's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ma Kuang Healthcare
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ma Kuang for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ma Kuang Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ma Kuang Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for 4139 Stock Analysis
When running Ma Kuang's price analysis, check to measure Ma Kuang's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ma Kuang is operating at the current time. Most of Ma Kuang's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ma Kuang's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ma Kuang's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ma Kuang to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.