PARK24 SPONS (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.9

3WN Stock  EUR 12.90  0.60  4.88%   
PARK24 SPONS's future price is the expected price of PARK24 SPONS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PARK24 SPONS ADR1 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PARK24 SPONS Backtesting, PARK24 SPONS Valuation, PARK24 SPONS Correlation, PARK24 SPONS Hype Analysis, PARK24 SPONS Volatility, PARK24 SPONS History as well as PARK24 SPONS Performance.
  
Please specify PARK24 SPONS's target price for which you would like PARK24 SPONS odds to be computed.

PARK24 SPONS Target Price Odds to finish over 12.9

The tendency of PARK24 Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 12.90 90 days 12.90 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PARK24 SPONS to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This PARK24 SPONS ADR1 probability density function shows the probability of PARK24 Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon PARK24 SPONS ADR1 has a beta of -0.22. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding PARK24 SPONS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, PARK24 SPONS ADR1 is likely to outperform the market. Additionally PARK24 SPONS ADR1 has an alpha of 0.3455, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PARK24 SPONS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PARK24 SPONS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PARK24 SPONS ADR1. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7112.9015.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.0612.2514.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.4813.6715.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.4211.0612.69
Details

PARK24 SPONS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PARK24 SPONS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PARK24 SPONS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PARK24 SPONS ADR1, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PARK24 SPONS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio 0.14

PARK24 SPONS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PARK24 SPONS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PARK24 SPONS ADR1 can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PARK24 SPONS ADR1 has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 290.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (53.02 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 70.59 B.

PARK24 SPONS Technical Analysis

PARK24 SPONS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PARK24 Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PARK24 SPONS ADR1. In general, you should focus on analyzing PARK24 Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PARK24 SPONS Predictive Forecast Models

PARK24 SPONS's time-series forecasting models is one of many PARK24 SPONS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PARK24 SPONS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PARK24 SPONS ADR1

Checking the ongoing alerts about PARK24 SPONS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PARK24 SPONS ADR1 help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PARK24 SPONS ADR1 has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 290.25 B. Net Loss for the year was (53.02 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 70.59 B.

Other Information on Investing in PARK24 Stock

PARK24 SPONS financial ratios help investors to determine whether PARK24 Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PARK24 with respect to the benefits of owning PARK24 SPONS security.