KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150 (Korea) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 8530.0
| 360140 Etf | 9,315 50.00 0.53% |
KODEX |
KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150 Target Price Odds to finish below 8530.0
The tendency of KODEX Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 8,530 or more in 90 days |
| 9,315 | 90 days | 8,530 | nearly 4.32 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150 to drop to 8,530 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.32 (This KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150SHORT Futures probability density function shows the probability of KODEX Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150 price to stay between 8,530 and its current price of 9315.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150 has a beta of 0.12. This suggests as returns on the market go up, KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150 average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150SHORT Futures will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150SHORT Futures has an alpha of 0.0313, implying that it can generate a 0.0313 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150 Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150.KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150 Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150SHORT Futures, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 254.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.0007 |
KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150 Technical Analysis
KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. KODEX Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150SHORT Futures. In general, you should focus on analyzing KODEX Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150 Predictive Forecast Models
KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150's time-series forecasting models is one of many KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150 in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from KODEX 200LONGKOSDAQ150 options trading.