Edison Opto (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 28.87
| 3591 Stock | TWD 26.40 0.60 2.22% |
Edison |
Edison Opto Target Price Odds to finish over 28.87
The tendency of Edison Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over NT$ 28.87 or more in 90 days |
| 26.40 | 90 days | 28.87 | about 1.6 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Edison Opto to move over NT$ 28.87 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.6 (This Edison Opto Corp probability density function shows the probability of Edison Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Edison Opto Corp price to stay between its current price of NT$ 26.40 and NT$ 28.87 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Edison Opto Corp has a beta of -0.41. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Edison Opto are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Edison Opto Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Edison Opto Corp has an alpha of 0.236, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Edison Opto Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Edison Opto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Edison Opto Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Edison Opto Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Edison Opto is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Edison Opto's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Edison Opto Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Edison Opto within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Edison Opto Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Edison Opto for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Edison Opto Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Edison Opto Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Edison Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Edison Opto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Edison Opto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 124.7 M |
Edison Opto Technical Analysis
Edison Opto's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Edison Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Edison Opto Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Edison Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Edison Opto Predictive Forecast Models
Edison Opto's time-series forecasting models is one of many Edison Opto's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Edison Opto's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Edison Opto Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Edison Opto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Edison Opto Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 39.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees |
Additional Tools for Edison Stock Analysis
When running Edison Opto's price analysis, check to measure Edison Opto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Edison Opto is operating at the current time. Most of Edison Opto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Edison Opto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Edison Opto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Edison Opto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.