Wholetech System (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 106.0

3402 Stock  TWD 102.50  2.00  1.91%   
Wholetech System's future price is the expected price of Wholetech System instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wholetech System Hitech performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wholetech System Backtesting, Wholetech System Valuation, Wholetech System Correlation, Wholetech System Hype Analysis, Wholetech System Volatility, Wholetech System History as well as Wholetech System Performance.
  
Please specify Wholetech System's target price for which you would like Wholetech System odds to be computed.

Wholetech System Target Price Odds to finish below 106.0

The tendency of Wholetech Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under NT$ 106.00  after 90 days
 102.50 90 days 106.00 
about 69.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wholetech System to stay under NT$ 106.00  after 90 days from now is about 69.84 (This Wholetech System Hitech probability density function shows the probability of Wholetech Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wholetech System Hitech price to stay between its current price of NT$ 102.50  and NT$ 106.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wholetech System has a beta of 0.34. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Wholetech System average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wholetech System Hitech will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wholetech System Hitech has an alpha of 3.0E-4, implying that it can generate a 2.95E-4 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wholetech System Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wholetech System

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wholetech System Hitech. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
102.28104.50106.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.1494.36114.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
103.90106.12108.34
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
98.63103.16107.68
Details

Wholetech System Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wholetech System is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wholetech System's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wholetech System Hitech, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wholetech System within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.0003
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.34
σ
Overall volatility
3.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Wholetech System Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wholetech System for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wholetech System Hitech can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Wholetech System Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wholetech Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wholetech System's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wholetech System's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding73 M

Wholetech System Technical Analysis

Wholetech System's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wholetech Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wholetech System Hitech. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wholetech Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wholetech System Predictive Forecast Models

Wholetech System's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wholetech System's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wholetech System's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wholetech System Hitech

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wholetech System for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wholetech System Hitech help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for Wholetech Stock Analysis

When running Wholetech System's price analysis, check to measure Wholetech System's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wholetech System is operating at the current time. Most of Wholetech System's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wholetech System's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wholetech System's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wholetech System to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.