Anhui Huaren (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.61
| 301408 Stock | 13.32 0.02 0.15% |
Anhui |
Anhui Huaren Target Price Odds to finish below 10.61
The tendency of Anhui Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 10.61 or more in 90 days |
| 13.32 | 90 days | 10.61 | about 14.92 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anhui Huaren to drop to 10.61 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.92 (This Anhui Huaren Health probability density function shows the probability of Anhui Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anhui Huaren Health price to stay between 10.61 and its current price of 13.32 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Anhui Huaren Health has a beta of -0.25. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Anhui Huaren are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Anhui Huaren Health is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Anhui Huaren Health has an alpha of 0.4277, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Anhui Huaren Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Anhui Huaren
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anhui Huaren Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Anhui Huaren Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anhui Huaren is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anhui Huaren's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anhui Huaren Health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anhui Huaren within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.43 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Anhui Huaren Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anhui Huaren for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anhui Huaren Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Anhui Huaren Health appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Anhui Huaren Health Pharmaceutical Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return - Simply Wall St |
Anhui Huaren Technical Analysis
Anhui Huaren's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anhui Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anhui Huaren Health. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anhui Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Anhui Huaren Predictive Forecast Models
Anhui Huaren's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anhui Huaren's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anhui Huaren's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Anhui Huaren Health
Checking the ongoing alerts about Anhui Huaren for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anhui Huaren Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Anhui Huaren Health appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Anhui Huaren Health Pharmaceutical Is Reinvesting At Lower Rates Of Return - Simply Wall St |
Other Information on Investing in Anhui Stock
Anhui Huaren financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anhui Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anhui with respect to the benefits of owning Anhui Huaren security.