Highbroad Advanced (China) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.75

301321 Stock   13.42  0.81  5.69%   
Highbroad Advanced's future price is the expected price of Highbroad Advanced instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Highbroad Advanced Material performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Highbroad Advanced Backtesting, Highbroad Advanced Valuation, Highbroad Advanced Correlation, Highbroad Advanced Hype Analysis, Highbroad Advanced Volatility, Highbroad Advanced History as well as Highbroad Advanced Performance.
  
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Highbroad Advanced Target Price Odds to finish over 12.75

The tendency of Highbroad Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  12.75  in 90 days
 13.42 90 days 12.75 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Highbroad Advanced to stay above  12.75  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Highbroad Advanced Material probability density function shows the probability of Highbroad Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Highbroad Advanced price to stay between  12.75  and its current price of 13.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.25 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Highbroad Advanced Material has a beta of -1.03. This suggests Additionally Highbroad Advanced Material has an alpha of 0.1015, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Highbroad Advanced Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Highbroad Advanced

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Highbroad Advanced. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.0914.6720.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.3012.8818.46
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Highbroad Advanced. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Highbroad Advanced's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Highbroad Advanced's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Highbroad Advanced.

Highbroad Advanced Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Highbroad Advanced is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Highbroad Advanced's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Highbroad Advanced Material, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Highbroad Advanced within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.10
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.03
σ
Overall volatility
1.84
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Highbroad Advanced Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Highbroad Advanced for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Highbroad Advanced can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Highbroad Advanced generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Highbroad Advanced has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Highbroad Advanced Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Highbroad Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Highbroad Advanced's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Highbroad Advanced's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding186.4 M
Dividends Paid68.3 M
Shares Float82.4 M

Highbroad Advanced Technical Analysis

Highbroad Advanced's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Highbroad Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Highbroad Advanced Material. In general, you should focus on analyzing Highbroad Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Highbroad Advanced Predictive Forecast Models

Highbroad Advanced's time-series forecasting models is one of many Highbroad Advanced's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Highbroad Advanced's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Highbroad Advanced

Checking the ongoing alerts about Highbroad Advanced for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Highbroad Advanced help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Highbroad Advanced generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Highbroad Advanced has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees

Other Information on Investing in Highbroad Stock

Highbroad Advanced financial ratios help investors to determine whether Highbroad Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Highbroad with respect to the benefits of owning Highbroad Advanced security.